Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-29

Category 2

WHAT A routine tide combined with near-normal pressure is keeping conditions benign. No flooding is expected, and overall risk remains minimal.

WHEN Highest water levels are around 7:42 AM and 6:48 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The moderate astronomical tide was the primary factor, with a small boost from near-normal pressure. Wind contributed very little, and ensemble members all concur on Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-09-30

Category 2

WHAT Slightly lower astronomical tide than the previous day and above-normal pressure continue to indicate no flood risk. Conditions stay routine.

WHEN Peak water levels occur near 8:36 AM and 7:24 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The moderate tide was again the main factor, partially offset by higher-than-average pressure, and wind influence was minimal. Ensemble forecasts agree on Category 2 with no outlier scenarios.

Day 3: 2026-10-01

Category 1

WHAT Lower astronomical tide and near-normal pressure lead to very calm conditions with no flooding risk.

WHEN High tides arrive close to 9:36 AM and 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is relatively modest, and the slightly above-normal pressure adds no extra risk. These conditions are similar to the 2026-07-04 Category 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1013.3 hPa1013.6–1014.1
Wind9 mph SSW4–7
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 8.6 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Saturday, June 20, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
12.9 ft
Pressure
1013.1 hPa
Wind
10 mph WSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.