Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-30

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A routine day with no flooding expected. The main driver is a moderately high tide combined with slightly above-normal pressure, leading to a Category 2 forecast with no risk.

WHEN
Peak tidal levels are expected in the morning around 8:36 AM and again in the evening near 7:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide height was the primary factor elevating conditions slightly, while pressure provided small additional support. Onshore wind contributed very little, and with all factors considered, there is no flood concern.

Day 2: 2026-10-01

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No flood threat. Tidal levels are moderate, and overall conditions remain calm.

WHEN
Higher water levels may occur around 9:36 AM and again near 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A regular tide and near-normal pressure result in a stable Category 1 forecast. Wind is negligible. This day is similar to the 2026-07-12 Cat 1 event in historical records.

Day 3: 2026-10-02

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No flood threat is expected. All key factors—tide, pressure, and wind—remain mild and do not suggest flood risk.

WHEN
Tidal peaks will occur around 10:54 AM and again near 8:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is moderate and pressure is near normal, with minimal onshore wind influence. This matches conditions from the 2026-06-28 Cat 1 event, reinforcing the low-risk forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.7 hPa1018.0–1018.4
Wind6 mph N5–6
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, July 19, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
12.8 ft
Pressure
1019.5 hPa
Wind
9 mph NNW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.