Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-30

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A Category 2 event indicates no flood risk, driven largely by a moderate astronomical tide. Light winds and near-normal atmospheric pressure are expected to keep water levels in check.

WHEN
Highest water levels near 8:36 AM and again around 7:24 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate tide was the main contributor, while pressure remains slightly above normal and onshore wind is minimal. All model scenarios agree on Category 2 with no higher tail risk.

Day 2: 2026-10-01

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
This is a Category 1 event, signifying no risk of flooding. Normal tides and near-normal pressure should keep conditions routine.

WHEN
Highest water levels are expected around 9:36 AM and again near 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is lower compared to the previous day and near-normal pressure, with negligible wind, keeps levels in check. This is similar to the 2026-07-12 Cat 1 event.

Day 3: 2026-10-02

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Conditions remain at Category 1, indicating no flood risk. Tides stay moderate, with slightly below normal pressure not creating significant additional water rise.

WHEN
Highest water levels expected around 10:54 AM and again near 8:54 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate tide and relatively calm onshore wind do not elevate risk beyond Category 1. This is similar to the 2021-10-29 Cat 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1019.7 hPa1018.3–1018.7
Wind4 mph NNE5–6
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, July 19, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
12.8 ft
Pressure
1019.5 hPa
Wind
9 mph NNW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.