Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-01

Category 2

WHAT
A routine day with no flooding risk expected. Moderate tide height is the primary driver, with a small positive effect from pressure.

WHEN
Peak water levels near 9:36 AM and again around 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate astronomical tide is the main factor, with slight support from higher-than-average pressure. Onshore wind does not contribute noticeably. All models agree on Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-10-02

Category 1

WHAT
No flood threat for this day; the tide is somewhat elevated, but below thresholds of concern. Pressure provides a minor positive influence.

WHEN
Highest tides in late morning around 10:54 AM and again in the evening near 8:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate tide and slightly below-normal pressure each contribute a small effect, while wind remains minimal. This is similar to the 2026-08-27 Cat 1 event.

Day 3: 2026-10-03

Category 1

WHAT
Again, no flood potential is expected. Tides do rise, but winds actually offset a bit of the tide’s impact.

WHEN
Peak levels occur around 12:24 PM and later at about 10:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A mild tide influence interacts with slightly above-normal pressure. Light offshore wind reduces the overall risk. This is similar to the 2026-08-10 Cat 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.4 hPa1018.3–1018.5
Wind2 mph SW1–2
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 1.6 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, July 12, 2026 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.4 ft
Pressure
1018.9 hPa
Wind
12 mph WSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.