Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-02

CATEGORY 1

WHAT No flood risk is expected. Tidal influence is the main factor, but levels remain well below flood thresholds.

WHEN Peak water levels will occur in the late morning around 10:54 AM and again in the evening near 8:54 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING A moderate tide drives the forecast, with near-normal atmospheric pressure and minimal onshore wind. These conditions match well with peaceful Cat 1 historical events, such as on 2021-08-20 (Cat 1).

Day 2: 2026-10-03

CATEGORY 1

WHAT Conditions remain calm, with tidal levels insufficient to cause flooding.

WHEN Highest tides occur around midday at 12:24 PM and again in the late evening near 10:12 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING The routine tide is the primary contributor, and pressure is slightly above normal. Wind is negligible. This day is similar to the 2025-05-16 Cat 1 event.

Day 3: 2026-10-04

CATEGORY 1

WHAT No flood concerns. Despite a slightly higher tide than previous days, it remains below levels that typically cause flooding.

WHEN Peak tides are expected in the early afternoon around 1:48 PM and again late at night near 11:42 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is again the largest factor, with normal pressure and light wind providing little extra impact. This is similar to the 2023-04-14 Cat 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1015.9 hPa1017.6–1018.2
Wind3 mph E3–4
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, August 20, 2021 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.2 ft
Pressure
1015.6 hPa
Wind
11 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.