Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-02

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
A routine day with no flooding expected. The slight influence from the normal high tide is not enough to create any flood risk.

WHEN
Peak tides will occur late morning around 10:54 AM and again in the evening near 8:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide is the main contributing factor, but it remains at a routine level. Pressure is near normal, and onshore wind is minimal. Conditions mirror past Category 1 events such as 2026-08-27.

Day 2: 2026-10-03

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No flood concerns are forecast, with generally benign tidal and weather factors. Overall conditions should remain routine through the day.

WHEN
Peak tides are expected around 12:24 PM and 10:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide height is moderate, and the pressure is slightly higher than normal, keeping any flood threat low. Onshore wind is negligible. This aligns with previous Category 1 analogs like 2025-05-16.

Day 3: 2026-10-04

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Flood risk remains minimal, even though the tide is a bit higher than the previous days. No significant drivers are pushing these levels toward flooding.

WHEN
High tides will occur mid-afternoon near 1:48 PM and late evening around 11:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The slightly higher astronomical tide is still well below flood thresholds. Pressure remains near normal, and wind contributions are minimal. Conditions are similar to the 2026-02-14 Category 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.3 hPa1017.5–1018.1
Wind3 mph E2–4
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Thursday, August 27, 2026 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.1 ft
Pressure
1016.3 hPa
Wind
10 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.