Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-03

Category 1

WHAT
No flooding is expected on Saturday. Tides are fairly typical, with a slight contribution from higher-than-usual pressure, and negligible onshore winds.

WHEN
Peak tides will occur around midday near 12:24 PM and again in the late evening near 10:12 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide levels are the main factor, though still routine, and pressure is slightly above normal with minimal wind. These conditions are similar to the 2025-05-16 Cat 1 event in the historical record.


Day 2: 2026-10-04

Category 1

WHAT
Sunday will again carry no risk of tidal flooding. The primary driver is moderate high tide with minimal wind and a small effect from pressure.

WHEN
Highest tides are expected around 1:48 PM and late night near 11:42 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide is the main contributor, but remains well below flood thresholds; pressure is only slightly below normal, and wind is negligible. Conditions match past Cat 1 days, such as 2026-06-28.


Day 3: 2026-10-05

Category 1

WHAT
No flood concerns on Monday. Tide is the most significant factor, but not strong enough to pose a risk, and other factors remain benign.

WHEN
Peak tide arrives in mid-afternoon, around 2:42 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate tide is partly countered by near-normal pressure, and wind remains minimal. This is similar to the 2021-07-16 Cat 1 event conditions.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.9 hPa1018.1–1018.9
Wind1 mph E4–8
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, May 16, 2025 Scored Category 1
Tide
11.9 ft
Pressure
1019.4 hPa
Wind
8 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.