Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-03

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No risk of flooding is expected on Saturday. Slightly elevated tide and near-normal pressure are present, but they are not high enough to cause concerns.

WHEN
Peak water levels will occur around 12:24 PM and again near 10:12 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate astronomical tide was the minor contributor, with near-normal pressure providing a small boost. Wind influence was minimal. Historical comparisons suggest conditions similar to the 2025-05-16 Cat 1 event.

Day 2: 2026-10-04

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No flooding concerns on Sunday. The forecast shows a routine tidal cycle with slightly below-normal pressure, but not enough to pose a flood threat.

WHEN
Peak water levels will happen around 1:48 PM and 11:42 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Slightly higher tide than the previous day, combined with near-normal pressure, still keeps the total well below flood potential. Wind remains minimal. Analog days (such as 2026-06-28) also registered Cat 1 under similar conditions.

Day 3: 2026-10-05

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No flood risk on Monday. Astronomical tides remain moderate, and pressure is close to typical values, limiting any threat of coastal flooding.

WHEN
The highest tide occurs near 2:42 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A moderate tide is the main factor, with near-normal pressure and light winds contributing very little. This matches the profile of other Cat 1 events like 2025-09-12.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1019.1 hPa1018.9–1019.4
Wind1 mph E5–8
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, May 16, 2025 Scored Category 1
Tide
11.9 ft
Pressure
1019.4 hPa
Wind
8 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.