Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-04

Category 1

WHAT
No flooding is expected on Sunday. Though the tide will rise to around 11.4 ft, normal pressure and minimal onshore wind mean water levels should stay below flood thresholds.

WHEN
The highest water levels are expected around 1:48 PM and again near 11:42 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the main factor, but conditions remain routine with near-normal pressure and negligible wind. This is similar to the 2026-09-30 Cat 1 event.


Day 2: 2026-10-05

Category 1

WHAT
No flooding is expected on Monday. The slightly higher tide (near 11.7 ft) is still below flood concern, and pressure is stable with very light wind.

WHEN
Peak tide occurs in mid-afternoon, around 2:42 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Astronomical tide remains the primary factor, but is not sufficient to cause flooding. Pressure continues near normal and wind influence is minimal. This is similar to the 2025-05-23 Cat 1 event.


Day 3: 2026-10-06

Category 2

WHAT
No flooding risk is indicated on Tuesday, although the tide is a bit higher at around 12 ft. Above-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind keep water levels in check.

WHEN
Peak water is expected early morning near 1:18 AM and again in the mid-afternoon around 3:24 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The higher tide dominates the forecast, but slightly above-normal pressure and negligible wind mean overall conditions remain below flooding thresholds.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.0 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1017.7 hPa1016.6–1017.1
Wind1 mph W2–4
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 0.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.1 ft
Pressure
1017.8 hPa
Wind
12 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.