Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-04

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
A routine day with no flood risk. The primary driver is a moderate high tide, with a small additional effect from slightly below-normal pressure.

WHEN
Peak tide is expected in the early afternoon around 1:48 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderately high tide added most to the classification, while pressure contributed a small positive effect. Wind was minimal, reducing overall risk. This is reminiscent of the 2026-09-30 Cat 1 event.

Day 2: 2026-10-05

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Again, no flood risk is expected. The tide remains the main factor, with only light winds and near-normal pressure.

WHEN
Peak tide is expected in the early afternoon around 2:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide is once more the biggest contributor, while pressure is slightly supportive, and wind adds almost nothing. This matches well with the 2026-07-04 Cat 1 analog day.

Day 3: 2026-10-06

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Still no flooding risk, though tides are a bit higher than previous days. Pressure remains near normal, and onshore wind is minimal.

WHEN
Peak risk window is mid-afternoon around 3:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The higher astronomical tide drives the category slightly above routine, with a modest contribution from pressure. Onshore wind remains negligible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.0 hPa1017.4–1017.8
Wind1 mph ENE2–4
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.1 ft
Pressure
1017.8 hPa
Wind
12 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.