Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-05

CATEGORY 1

WHAT Category 1 means no flooding is expected. Routine conditions prevail, with a moderate astronomical tide and near-normal pressure.

WHEN Peak water levels in the mid-afternoon near 2:42 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide was the primary factor, but it was not high enough to create risk. Pressure remains normal, and wind contribution is minimal. This day is similar to the 2025-05-23 Cat 1 event.

Day 2: 2026-10-06

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Still no risk of flooding despite a slightly higher tide than the previous day. Conditions remain generally stable.

WHEN Highest water levels in the afternoon near 3:24 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING A modestly higher tide drove the category up to 2, but stable pressure and negligible onshore wind keep flooding risk low. All ensemble models concur at Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-10-07

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No flood risk is expected again. The tide remains the main contributor, but not high enough to cause issues.

WHEN Peak water levels in the mid-afternoon near 3:54 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Slightly elevated astronomical tide is the primary driver, with pressure near normal. Onshore wind influence is minimal. Ensemble guidance agrees on Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.1 ft12.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1019.6 hPa1020.3–1020.5
Wind2 mph S2–3
Surge (forecast)0.20 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 1.1 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, May 23, 2025 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.3 ft
Pressure
1019.6 hPa
Wind
8 mph WSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.