Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-06

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A Category 2 event indicates no flooding threat. Moderate tidal levels are the primary driver, with near-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind offering little additional push. There's some ensemble uncertainty, but either Category 1 or 2 carries no real flood risk.

WHEN
Peak tides occur around 1:18 AM and again near 3:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the main positive factor, with a small boost from roughly normal pressure. Onshore wind was negligible. Although the central ensemble suggests a slightly lower category, the official deterministic forecast remains Category 2.


Day 2: 2026-10-07

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Once again, Category 2 signals no flooding threat. Moderate tides are the main factor, accompanied by generally normal pressure and virtually no wind effect.

WHEN
Peak tides arrive near 2:36 AM and 3:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide drives most of the daily water level, with small support from near-normal pressure. Winds remain calm, so the overall risk stays at Category 2 without notable ensemble spread.


Day 3: 2026-10-08

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another Category 2 day suggests continued low flood risk. A moderate high tide is the main influence, with slightly lower-than-normal pressure adding a small contribution. Light wind is not expected to elevate water levels much.

WHEN
Peak tides occur near 3:42 AM and 4:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tidal elevation leads the forecast, with a modest extra uptick from pressure that is slightly below typical for this region. Onshore wind is minimal, and ensemble guidance shows no higher scenario.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.6 ft12.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1021.3 hPa1020.1–1020.6
Wind1 mph N6–8
Surge (forecast)0.10 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Thursday, March 05, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
12.5 ft
Pressure
1021.7 hPa
Wind
10 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.