Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-09

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Flood conditions are borderline on Friday, primarily driven by a moderately high astronomical tide combined with slightly below-normal atmospheric pressure. While conditions aren’t extreme, this warrants keeping an eye on the shoreline.

WHEN
Peak risk in the late afternoon near 4:48 PM during the highest tide of the day.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Tide is the main contributor, with some added influence from somewhat low atmospheric pressure. Onshore wind is minimal and not expected to worsen conditions. This forecast is similar to the 2026-01-07 Cat 3 event.


Day 2: 2026-10-10

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flood risk on Saturday. The tide will be elevated but not nearly enough to cause any known issues.

WHEN
Highest tide is expected in the late afternoon near 5:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate tide and slightly below-normal pressure both contribute, but not strongly. Onshore wind is negligible and does not raise flood concerns.


Day 3: 2026-10-11

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Again, no flood risk on Sunday. Tide levels remain moderate, with normal pressure supporting quiet conditions.

WHEN
Slightly higher tide late afternoon around 5:36 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate tide is offset by largely normal pressure and minimal onshore wind. Overall, conditions remain well below flood thresholds.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.9 ft12.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1008.5 hPa1008.9–1010.9
Wind4 mph S2–8
Surge (forecast)0.70 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 2.9 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 01, 2023 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.7 ft
Pressure
1007.6 hPa
Wind
14 mph SSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 97% similar.