Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-09

CATEGORY 3

WHAT A moderate high tide combined with slightly below normal pressure is bringing water levels close to flood conditions. Although full flooding is not expected at this time, it is worth monitoring along the immediate shoreline.

WHEN Peak water levels are expected in the late afternoon, around 4:48 PM.

IMPACTS • Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING Tide levels are the main driver on this day, with some added influence from slightly below normal pressure. Onshore wind does not appear to be a notable contributor, so the overall risk remains Category 3 without higher-end uncertainty.


Day 2: 2026-10-10

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Water levels will be somewhat elevated by the tide, but conditions are expected to remain below flood thresholds. Pressure remains near normal, and wind is minimal.

WHEN High tides occur in the morning around 5:36 AM and late afternoon around 5:12 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING A moderate tide is the primary factor, but it is not high enough to cause any flooding. Pressure is near normal, and wind is low, keeping the category at 2.


Day 3: 2026-10-11

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Slightly lower tide levels and near-normal pressure keep flood risk low. No significant onshore wind is expected.

WHEN High tides in the morning around 6:24 AM and late afternoon near 5:36 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide levels are not high enough to approach flood conditions, and pressure remains near typical values. Limited wind influence further reduces any flood threat.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.2 ft12.7 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1009.3 hPa1009.0–1009.6
Wind14 mph SSW4–10
Surge (forecast)0.70 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 13.8 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 01, 2023 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.7 ft
Pressure
1007.6 hPa
Wind
14 mph SSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 97% similar.