Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-10

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A Category 2 event indicates no flooding risk is expected. Tides will peak near 5:36 AM and again around 5:12 PM, but the forecast sea levels and weather conditions remain routine.

WHEN
Morning high tide around 5:36 AM and late afternoon/early evening high tide near 5:12 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate astronomical tide was the main factor, with slightly below-normal atmospheric pressure providing a small additional effect. Onshore winds are minimal, and the ensemble unanimously supports Category 2 with no higher-tail scenario.


Day 2: 2026-10-11

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flood risk is expected on this Category 2 day. The tides (peak near 6:24 AM and again about 5:36 PM) are not high enough to cause concern, and overall conditions are calm.

WHEN
Early morning high tide near 6:24 AM, followed by an evening high tide around 5:36 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide again drives most of the water level, but with near-normal pressure around 1015 hPa and slightly offshore-angled winds, there is no significant flood potential. The ensemble shows no higher-tail scenario beyond Category 2.


Day 3: 2026-10-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another Category 2 forecast day with no flooding concerns. High tides occur around 7:12 AM and approximately 6:06 PM, neither of which is expected to cause shoreline inundation.

WHEN
Morning high tide around 7:12 AM and evening high tide near 6:06 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide remains the primary contribution, but it is only moderate (~12 ft range) with near-normal pressure in the 1015 hPa range. Onshore winds are weak, and the ensemble consistently shows Category 2 without any higher-end outliers.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.8 ft12.1 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1010.9 hPa1010.8–1011.2
Wind2 mph ENE6–7
Surge (forecast)0.70 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 06, 2023 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.6 ft
Pressure
1011.5 hPa
Wind
13 mph S

Observed that day: Category 3 flooding.

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.