Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 conditions with no flooding expected. The primary driver is the moderate astronomical tide, with a small boost from near-normal pressure; onshore wind impact is minimal.

WHEN
Peak water levels in the morning around 7:12 AM and again in the early evening near 6:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tidal influence was the principal factor, with near-normal pressure adding a slight effect. Onshore wind contributed very little. Ensemble forecasts agree on Category 2, with no higher-tail scenario.

Day 2: 2026-10-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another Category 2 day, driven mostly by tidal conditions. Pressure remains near-normal, which adds only a small influence; wind slightly reduces flood potential.

WHEN
High tides in the morning around 7:54 AM and early evening near 6:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The routine tide is the main contributor, with pressure near normal and wind providing minimal negative effect. All model runs concur that conditions remain at Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-10-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 conditions continue. Tidal levels are modest, and pressure and wind effects are negligible.

WHEN
Highest tides occur around 8:42 AM and again in the evening near 7:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A moderate tide is the primary driver, while pressure and wind offer minimal additional effect. All ensemble members indicate Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1015.2 hPa1017.2–1017.7
Wind5 mph E1–2
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Thursday, July 16, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1014.6 hPa
Wind
8 mph NNW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 97% similar.