Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A routine high tide brings slightly elevated water levels, but no flooding is expected. Pressure and wind are near normal, further supporting the low flood risk.

WHEN Peak water levels will occur around 8:42 AM and 7:06 PM during the two high tides.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide level is the primary factor, with only minor contributions from pressure and wind. The ensemble shows unanimous agreement at Category 2, so there is no indication of higher potential flooding.

Day 2: 2026-10-15

CATEGORY 1

WHAT Normal tidal conditions are forecast, leading to no flooding concerns. Light winds and well-above-threshold pressure reduce any chance of inundation.

WHEN Highest tides occur near 9:30 AM and again around 7:42 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The slightly higher-than-average tide is offset by stable atmospheric pressure and negligible wind effect. This day closely resembles the 2024-02-23 Category 1 event, and ensemble members consistently indicate Category 1.

Day 3: 2026-10-16

CATEGORY 1

WHAT Little to no flooding threat is expected. Tidal influences remain mild, and conditions are not conducive to elevated water levels.

WHEN Look for highest tides late morning around 10:30 AM and in the evening near 8:24 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide provides the primary influence, with minimal additional contribution from pressure and a slight negative wind effect. This is similar to the 2021-04-09 Category 1 event, and the ensemble fully agrees on a Category 1 outcome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.1 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1024.0 hPa1025.1–1025.8
Wind6 mph S2–4
Surge (forecast)0.10 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 4.5 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 17, 2021 Scored Category 2
Tide
12.6 ft
Pressure
1023.6 hPa
Wind
5 mph SSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.