Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-10-16

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No flooding risk is expected. Normal tidal levels and generally stable atmospheric pressure keep conditions benign today.

WHEN
Peak tides are mid-morning around 10:30 AM and again in the evening near 8:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the primary factor, with only a small effect from pressure. Wind and other influences did not contribute to any significant risk. All models concur at Category 1, similar to other mild Category 1 dates on record.

Day 2: 2026-10-17

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Still no flooding risk. A moderate tide and only slightly below-normal pressure keep conditions routine throughout the day.

WHEN
Peak tides are in the late morning around 11:36 AM and again in the evening near 9:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide remains the main factor, with a minor contribution from pressure. Onshore wind is present but not enough to increase flood potential. Ensemble forecasts all confirm Category 1.

Day 3: 2026-10-18

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
No risk of flooding continues. The tide is near normal, and wind slightly reduces the overall water level effect.

WHEN
Peak tides occur around 12:42 PM and again near 10:48 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
An ordinary tide is the primary influence. Pressure is not low enough to matter, and a mild offshore wind component helps reduce water buildup at the shoreline. The ensemble unanimously indicates Category 1, matching past mild Category 1 events.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1023.4 hPa1022.2–1022.4
Wind2 mph SSE1–3
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 1.2 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 10, 2025 Scored Category 1
Tide
11.8 ft
Pressure
1023.2 hPa
Wind
14 mph SSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.