Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 2
WHAT... The weather data indicates overcast conditions with light drizzle and a maximum precipitation of 1.5 mm. The high tide level on this day peaks at 19.942 feet at 05:06, with a corresponding mean sea level pressure (MSL) of 1014.95 hPa. Comparing this to historical events, the tide level is lower than the Category 4 event on 11/15/2021 and significantly lower than the Category 5 event on 12/27/2022. Moreover, the barometric pressure is above the thresholds seen in both historical events, reducing the likelihood of a similar flooding occurrence.
WHEN... Potential for flooding is categorized as low for this day, as both pressure and tide levels are not indicative of historical flooding events.
The east/southeast wind direction does not align with the critical W/NW direction that could enhance flood risk. However, NOAA's Flood Likelihood Analysis indicates a low likelihood of flooding at 0.8%. Even though the distance to the threshold suggests proximity, the other data points do not support a higher category rating at this time.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT... Weather conditions show moderate rain with accumulations up to 3.2 mm, which could contribute to localized flooding. The high tide reaches a level of 20.221 feet at 05:48, accompanied by a significantly higher MSL pressure of 1031.59 hPa compared to historical events, which suggests a reduced risk of major flooding.
WHEN... While NOAA's Flood Likelihood Analysis marks a high likelihood of flooding at 5.6%, the substantial barometric pressure reduces the risk despite higher tide levels. The flood potential is assessed as moderate due to these conflicting indicators.
Given the absence of low barometric pressure and unfavorable wind directions, it's unlikely that we'll see flood categories as high as previous events. The provided tide level is below the Category 4 event on 01/07/2022, but due to increased rainfall and high tide prediction for this day, vigilance is advised.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT... The forecast for this day involves light rain with a total precipitation of up to 0.8 mm. High tide levels peak at 20.529 feet at 06:24 and correspond with an MSL pressure of 1023.05 hPa, which is still above the threshold for increased flooding concern based on historical data.
WHEN... The NOAA's Flood Likelihood Analysis rates this day as having a high likelihood of flooding at 8.4%. While tide levels are approaching those seen in Category 4 historical floods, the pressure levels are not as low as those during past significant flooding events.
Barometric pressure remains above critical thresholds known to contribute to severe flooding and wind directions are not from the critical W/NW quadrant; therefore, while there's an increased likelihood according to NOAA, it does not reach the intensity suggested by historical Category 4 or higher floods.
Residents should remain vigilant and keep informed of any weather updates or advisories from local authorities. Those living in flood-prone areas should have safety plans in place and be prepared to act if conditions worsen or new data indicates a higher risk than currently assessed. Always consult with local authorities or experts for final decision-making in flood-related situations.