Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 4
WHAT... The high tide at 07:00 with a tide level potentially nearing historical Category 3 events and a Mean Pressure MSL significantly higher than the threshold associated with previous flooding events suggests a moderate risk for flooding. The barometric pressure is well above the critical threshold of 992.8 hPa, which reduces the likelihood of a severe flooding event. However, given the high tide and precedent set on similar dates historically, there is a potential risk that requires monitoring.
WHEN... The high tide occurring at 07:00 combined with the barometric pressure readings indicates that this date may experience conditions conducive to flooding. The risk appears to be moderated by the higher pressure system in place.
Despite the higher barometric pressure, which generally indicates less risk, the high tide levels are concerning when compared to historical data. Considering the historical flood event on 12/27/2023, which had a slightly lower tide but significantly lower barometric pressure, there remains a moderate risk for flooding. However, the current conditions do not yet indicate an imminent threat of property damage unless there is an unexpected drop in barometric pressure or other contributing weather factors that are not evident in the provided data.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT... The high tide at 07:30 and at 17:18 both have Mean Pressure MSL that is much higher than those seen during historical Category 4 events. This suggests less severe weather conditions and a lower likelihood of an extreme flooding event. However, considering the NOAA's Flood Likelihood Analysis on this date showing a low percentage (3.9%), this adds to our assessment for a lower risk category.
WHEN... As with Day 1, the high tide timing in combination with barometric pressure readings suggest a need for vigilance against potential flooding risks. The NOAA forecast indicates low likelihood but not zero, supporting our categorization.
The overall weather patterns and NOAA predictions suggest a lower likelihood of flooding compared to Day 1. It is advisable to continue monitoring weather forecasts and updates from local authorities due to changing coastal weather dynamics that might affect flood risks unexpectedly.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT... With Mean Pressure MSL again observed to be above critical thresholds at both high tide events and still within the range suggesting less severe weather conditions, the risk of flooding continues to diminish compared to previous days. NOAA's Flood Likelihood Analysis also shows a further lowered percentage (2.7%) for this day.
WHEN... The forecasted conditions based on barometric pressure and high tide levels indicate minimal flood risk on this day, especially when compared directly with historical data points from significant flood events.
Day 3 presents the lowest concern over the three-day period analyzed. While vigilance is always recommended, especially for residents in flood-prone areas, there is no strong indicator based on provided data that would suggest an elevated risk of flooding or property damage on this day.
Residents should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings from local authorities. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should any changing conditions develop that might increase flooding risks. Always consult local experts or authorities for final decision-making regarding safety measures during potential flood incidents.