Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 2
WHAT... The barometric pressure data for high tide times on January 1st, 2024, indicates higher pressure readings (1017.6419067382812 hPa and 1023.183837890625 hPa) compared to historical flooding events, suggesting a more stable atmosphere less conducive to extreme weather and flooding. The NOAA's flood likelihood for this day is rated as Low at 0.3%, which aligns with the higher pressure readings and the significant distance to the flood threshold (-0.392m).
WHEN... Given the current data, there is a low risk of flooding on January 1st, despite the presence of high tides. The high barometric pressure and low NOAA flood likelihood point towards a stable day with minimal flooding risk.
Wind direction for the forecast period is not provided, but based on historical data, W/NW wind directions contribute significantly to flood risks. Without strong winds from critical directions, combined with high barometric pressure and a low tide that remains below the flooding threshold, the conditions do not favor high-tide flooding.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT... Similar to Day 1, the barometric pressures during high tides on January 2nd, 2024 (1021.6322021484375 hPa and 1019.8321533203125 hPa), are much higher than those associated with historic flooding events. Coupled with low NOAA flood likelihood ratings (0.1%), it suggests stabilized weather conditions unfavorable for flooding.
WHEN... The risk of high-tide flooding on January 2nd is low due to higher atmospheric pressures and substantial distance from the NOAA flood threshold (-0.454m). The absence of critical wind data again limits the analysis; however, the available data points towards minimal risk.
The weather pattern seems consistent with that of Day 1, implying steady weather conditions continue to persist, which helps mitigate the risk of flooding even during high tide events.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT... On January 3rd, the barometric pressure decreases slightly to near-historic flooding thresholds at 1013.7289428710938 hPa during high tide, increasing concerns for potential weather instability and flood risk. However, it remains above critical thresholds observed in past Category 4 or higher events. NOAA's flood likelihood remains low at 0.1%, yet this is the closest approach to their defined flood threshold (-0.472m) over these three days.
WHEN... The projection for January 3rd indicates a moderate risk of high-tide flooding due to a lower barometric pressure that nears historic flood event levels but is still above critical thresholds. The NOAA's continued low likelihood assessment supports this moderate categorization.
As barometric pressure approaches historic event levels compared to previous days, there's an increased need for vigilance despite NOAA's low likelihood analysis. This situation warrants closer monitoring as it presents a higher risk than the previous two days but still not in the range of major concern due to lack of wind direction data which could significantly influence outcomes.
Residents should continue to monitor later forecasts and remain alert for possible Flood Warnings. Although current assessments show a low to moderate risk of flooding over the next three days, those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should conditions change unexpectedly. Consultation with local authorities or experts is advised for final decision-making in flood-related situations.