Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT... The weather data indicates overcast conditions with a mean pressure MSL of 1005.219 hPa during the high tide at 05:24. This pressure is below the threshold of the Category 3 event from 12/27/2023 but higher than Category 4 and 5 events, suggesting a lower likelihood of extreme flooding. The NOAA Flood Likelihood is low at 0.8%, with a significant distance to the flood threshold.
WHEN... Given the pressure data and low NOAA flood likelihood, the risk of flooding is present but not at a level that is likely to cause significant property damage.
The current barometric pressure is higher than the historical Category 4 and 5 events, indicating less severe weather conditions. The NOAA flood likelihood is low, and there's no indication of wind direction or speed to suggest an increased risk. Based on these factors, today's conditions are comparable to a Category 3 event, warranting monitoring but not immediate action.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT... The barometric pressure has risen to 1013.061 hPa during the high tide at 06:00, which is significantly higher than any historical flood event in our records. The NOAA Flood Likelihood remains low at 4.9%, indicating a reduced risk of flooding despite the closer distance to the threshold compared to Day 1.
WHEN... Considering the increased barometric pressure and still low NOAA flood likelihood, the risk of flooding is minimal and unlikely to cause property damage.
With an increase in barometric pressure and a low likelihood percentage from NOAA, the conditions for Day 2 are less conducive to flooding than Day 1. The absence of wind data makes it difficult to assess its potential impact fully; however, based on available information, there is no significant flood risk expected for this day.
CATEGORY 4
WHAT... There's a notable increase in NOAA Flood Likelihood to 8.6%, which is closer to the historical Category 3 event threshold. The barometric pressure remains high at around 1022 hPa during high tide at 06:30, which would typically suggest a lower risk; however, the increased likelihood of flooding from NOAA and higher tide levels indicate a greater risk than the previous two days.
WHEN... Given the NOAA flood likelihood and historical comparisons, there is an increased chance of flooding that may lead to property damage, although less likely than a Category 5 event due to higher barometric pressure.
Despite high barometric pressure, which generally indicates less severe weather conditions, the NOAA Flood Likelihood for Day 3 suggests a heightened risk compared to Days 1 and 2. The lack of wind data prevents a full assessment; however, if winds were from W/NW as in past events, they could exacerbate flooding conditions. Therefore, it's prudent to prepare for potential flooding similar to a Category 4 event based on the NOAA likelihood and historical tide levels.
Residents should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Consult local authorities or experts for up-to-date information and decision-making regarding flood-related situations.