Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 2
WHAT No significant flooding expected. Tide levels will be elevated but are not anticipated to cause any flooding.
WHEN From 2:00 PM to 4:00 PM PST on 2024-10-30.
IMPACTS No substantial impacts expected. Normal coastal conditions will prevail.
Step 1: Assess Barometric Pressure The barometric pressure during the high tide at 3:12 PM is 1018.03 hPa. This is significantly higher than the pressures recorded during historical flood events, such as the Category 3 event on 12/27/2023, which had a pressure of 1006.1 hPa. The higher pressure indicates stable atmospheric conditions, reducing the likelihood of flooding.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height The maximum tide height is approximately 18.778 feet at 3:06 PM. While this is higher than the tide height during the historical Category 3 event (17.460 feet), it is below the 21-foot threshold associated with higher flood risks and Category 4 or 5 events.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed Wind speeds are low, around 5 km/h (3 mph), coming from the southwest (wind direction 224 degrees). This is less severe than wind conditions during past flooding events and is unlikely to contribute to flooding.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood NOAA's forecast indicates a low flood likelihood of 0.0% for this date, with a distance to the flood threshold of -2.4 meters. This supports the assessment of minimal flood risk.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category Considering the high barometric pressure, elevated but not extreme tide heights, low wind speeds, and NOAA's low flood likelihood, the flood category is determined to be Category 2, indicating no risk of flooding.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT No significant flooding expected. Elevated tide levels are anticipated but are not expected to lead to flooding.
WHEN From 2:00 PM to 4:00 PM PST on 2024-10-31.
IMPACTS No substantial impacts expected. Coastal areas will experience normal conditions.
Step 1: Assess Barometric Pressure The barometric pressure during the high tide at 3:30 PM is 1020.32 hPa, which is higher than pressures observed during historical flooding events. This high pressure suggests stable weather conditions with a lower flood risk.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height The tide height peaks at approximately 18.696 feet at 3:30 PM. This is similar to Day 1 and still below the critical 21-foot threshold linked to significant flooding in past events.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed Wind speeds are moderate, around 15 km/h (9 mph), coming from the north (wind direction 350 degrees). While higher than on Day 1, these conditions are not severe and are not expected to contribute substantially to flooding risk.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood NOAA's forecast shows a low flood likelihood of 0.0% for this date, with a distance to the flood threshold of -2.59 meters, indicating minimal risk.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category Taking into account the high barometric pressure, tide heights below critical levels, moderate wind speeds, and NOAA's low flood likelihood, the flood category remains at Category 2, indicating no risk of flooding.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT No significant flooding expected. Tide levels will be elevated but are projected to remain below flood risk levels.
WHEN From 2:00 PM to 4:00 PM PST on 2024-11-01.
IMPACTS No substantial impacts anticipated. Coastal conditions are expected to be normal.
Step 1: Assess Barometric Pressure The barometric pressure during the high tide at 3:00 PM is 1023.35 hPa. This is notably higher than pressures associated with previous flooding events, indicating stable atmospheric conditions and a low likelihood of flooding.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height The maximum tide height is approximately 18.576 feet at 3:00 PM. This is slightly lower than the previous two days and remains well below the 21-foot threshold that has been linked to higher flood risks in historical data.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed Wind speeds are low, around 7 km/h (4 mph), with a south-southwest wind direction (194 degrees). These conditions are mild and are not expected to influence flooding potential.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood NOAA's forecast indicates a low flood likelihood of 0.0%, with a distance to the flood threshold of -2.61 meters, further suggesting minimal risk.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category Considering the high barometric pressure, moderate tide heights, low wind speeds, and NOAA's low flood likelihood, the flood category is determined to be Category 2, indicating no risk of flooding.
You should monitor later forecasts and remain alert for any updates. Those living in areas prone to flooding should always be prepared to take action should conditions change.