Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 1
WHAT
No risk of flooding is expected. Tidal and atmospheric conditions are within normal ranges.
WHEN
Not applicable.
IMPACTS
No flooding impacts anticipated.
Forecast Reasoning:
Step 1: Assess Barometric Pressure
The barometric pressure during the high tide at 15:30 is 1020.54 hPa, significantly higher than pressures observed during historical flood events (e.g., Category 4 events had pressures at or below 1002 hPa). This high pressure indicates stable atmospheric conditions with a low likelihood of severe weather contributing to flooding.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height
The predicted tide height at the time of high tide is approximately 18.696 ft, which is below the tide heights associated with historical flooding events (Category 4 events had tide heights over 19 ft, and significant flood risk is associated with tide levels over 21 ft when combined with low pressure).
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed
Wind speeds are forecasted to be low to moderate, ranging from 2 to 15 mph, with wind directions varying but not aligning with directions that have historically exacerbated flooding. No significant wind events are expected to contribute to flood risk.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood
NOAA's flood likelihood for 2024-10-31 is Low, with a likelihood percent of 0.0%, and a distance to the flood threshold of -2.59 m, indicating water levels are well below levels that might cause flooding.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category
Given the high barometric pressure, tide heights below historical flood levels, benign wind conditions, and NOAA's low flood likelihood, the flood potential is categorized as Category 1: No risk of flooding.
CATEGORY 1
WHAT
No risk of flooding is expected. Tidal and weather conditions remain stable with no indications of flooding.
WHEN
Not applicable.
IMPACTS
No flooding impacts anticipated.
Forecast Reasoning:
Step 1: Assess Barometric Pressure
The barometric pressure at the time of high tide (05:18) is 1023.47 hPa, which is considerably higher than pressures during past flooding events, suggesting stable atmospheric conditions.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height
The maximum predicted tide height is approximately 18.573 ft, remaining below thresholds associated with historical flooding.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed
Wind speeds are expected to be low to moderate, with no significant winds anticipated that could influence tidal levels or flooding risk.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood
NOAA's flood likelihood for 2024-11-01 is Low, with a likelihood percent of 0.0%, and a distance to the flood threshold of -2.61 m.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category
With high barometric pressure, moderate tide heights below flood thresholds, negligible wind impact, and NOAA's low flood likelihood, the flood potential is assessed as Category 1: No risk of flooding.
CATEGORY 1
WHAT
No risk of flooding is expected. Environmental conditions do not indicate any potential for flooding.
WHEN
Not applicable.
IMPACTS
No flooding impacts anticipated.
Forecast Reasoning:
Step 1: Assess Barometric Pressure
The barometric pressure during high tides on 2024-11-02 is 1023.17 hPa, indicating stable and high-pressure conditions.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height
The maximum predicted tide height is approximately 18.987 ft, which is still below historical flood event levels.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed
Forecasted wind speeds are moderate, and wind directions are not aligned with those that have historically contributed to flooding.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood
NOAA's flood likelihood for 2024-11-02 is Low, with a likelihood percent of 0.0%, and a distance to the flood threshold of -2.18 m.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category
Considering the high barometric pressure, tide heights below the critical flood thresholds, moderate wind conditions, and NOAA's low flood likelihood, the flood potential is categorized as Category 1: No risk of flooding.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.