Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT: Elevated tides expected with minimal risk of flooding. Minor inundation possible near shorelines and low-lying areas.
WHEN: From 4:00 AM to 6:00 AM PST during the morning high tide.
IMPACTS: Minor flooding in vulnerable coastal areas. Significant property damage is unlikely.
Forecast Reasoning:
The barometric pressure is approximately 1013.69 hPa during the high tide. This is higher than pressures recorded during historical severe flood events, indicating stable atmospheric conditions.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height
The tide height peaks at about 20.04 feet, higher than the historical Category 3 event but below the thresholds of Category 4 and 5 events. This suggests a moderate risk.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed
Wind speeds are moderate, and the wind direction does not align with patterns that have historically contributed to significant flooding.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood
NOAA's flood likelihood is low at 1.4%, indicating minimal risk of flooding.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category
CATEGORY 3
WHAT: High tides with potential for minor coastal flooding. No major impact expected.
WHEN: From 5:00 AM to 7:00 AM PST during the morning high tide.
IMPACTS: Possible minor flooding in low-lying areas near the coast. Significant property damage is not anticipated.
Forecast Reasoning:
The barometric pressure is around 1019.35 hPa during the high tide, indicating stable weather conditions and reducing the likelihood of severe flooding.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height
Tide heights reach approximately 20.59 feet, higher than the historical Category 3 event but still below levels associated with more severe flooding.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed
Wind speeds are moderate with no significant impact expected from wind direction on flooding risk.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood
NOAA reports a flood likelihood of 9.5%, higher than previous Category 3 events but still within a moderate range.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category
CATEGORY 3
WHAT: Elevated high tides increasing the potential for minor coastal flooding. No major property damage expected.
WHEN: From 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST during the morning high tide.
IMPACTS: Minor flooding possible in low-lying coastal areas. Some local roads may experience standing water.
Forecast Reasoning:
The barometric pressure is approximately 1023.95 hPa, significantly higher than pressures observed during severe historical flood events.
Step 2: Evaluate Tide Height
Tide heights are expected to peak at about 20.80 feet, below the critical 21-foot threshold for higher flood risk categories.
Step 3: Consider Wind Direction and Speed
Wind conditions are light to moderate, with directions that are not expected to exacerbate flooding.
Step 4: Integrate NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood
NOAA indicates a flood likelihood of 15.1%, which is higher than in previous Category 3 events but must be weighed against other factors.
Step 5: Synthesize Information and Forecast Flood Category
Monitor local forecasts and remain alert for possible flood warnings. Residents in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.