Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2025-01-02

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Minor coastal flooding possible. Close to a flood event, but unlikely to cause flood damage.

WHEN
From 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM PST.

IMPACTS
Minimal impacts expected. Low-lying areas might experience minor inundation.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

Barometric Pressure: The mean pressure is 1022.88 hPa, which is significantly higher than pressures observed during historical severe flood events. High pressure suggests stable weather conditions, reducing the likelihood of severe flooding.

Tide Height: The maximum tide height is approximately 20.518 ft at 7:30 AM, which is slightly lower than the historical Category 4 events that had tide heights over 20.586 ft. This tide height indicates a moderate risk but not at a level likely to cause significant flooding.

Wind Direction and Speed: Winds are light at around 2 mph coming from the ESE (118 degrees). This is considerably less intense than winds during past higher-category events and is not expected to contribute significantly to flooding risk.

NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood: NOAA forecasts a high flood likelihood with a percent chance of 5.8% and a distance to threshold of -0.73m. While this suggests some potential for minor flooding, it is lower than percentages observed during historical Category 3 events.

Synthesis: Considering the high barometric pressure, moderate tide height, low wind speeds, and NOAA's flood likelihood, the flood risk for Day 1 is categorized as Category 3. This means conditions are close to a flood event and worth monitoring, but significant flood damage is unlikely.


Day 2: 2025-01-03

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Minor coastal flooding possible. Close to a flood event, but unlikely to cause flood damage.

WHEN
From 7:00 AM to 9:00 AM PST.

IMPACTS
Minimal impacts expected. Low-lying areas might experience minor inundation.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

Barometric Pressure: The mean pressure is 1023.31 hPa, which remains high and indicates stable atmospheric conditions, lowering the risk of severe weather-related flooding.

Tide Height: The peak tide height is approximately 20.629 ft at 8:00 AM, slightly higher than Day 1 but still below levels observed during historical Category 4 and 5 events.

Wind Direction and Speed: Wind speeds are modest at around 6 mph from the NNE (17 degrees). These conditions are not conducive to enhancing flood risk.

NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood: NOAA indicates a high flood likelihood with an 11.2% chance and a distance to threshold of -0.53m. This is higher than Day 1 but still within a range associated with minor flooding events.

Synthesis: The combination of high barometric pressure, slightly elevated tide heights, moderate wind speeds, and NOAA's forecast places Day 2 in Category 3. Monitoring is advised, but significant flooding is unlikely.


Day 3: 2025-01-04

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Minor coastal flooding possible. Close to a flood event, but unlikely to cause flood damage.

WHEN
From 7:30 AM to 9:30 AM PST.

IMPACTS
Minimal impacts expected. Low-lying areas might experience minor inundation.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

Barometric Pressure: The mean pressure is 1027.26 hPa, the highest among the three days, suggesting very stable weather conditions and a reduced flooding risk from atmospheric factors.

Tide Height: Maximum tide height reaches approximately 20.712 ft at 8:30 AM, marginally higher than previous days but still below critical thresholds observed in more severe historical events.

Wind Direction and Speed: Winds are light at about 5 mph from the SE (136 degrees). These wind conditions are not expected to significantly impact the flood potential.

NOAA High Tide Flooding Likelihood: NOAA forecasts a high flood likelihood with a 10.8% chance and a distance to threshold of -0.55m. While consistent with Days 1 and 2, the high barometric pressure mitigates the overall risk.

Synthesis: Given the very high barometric pressure, marginally higher tide heights, and low wind speeds, Day 3 is assessed as Category 3. Close monitoring is recommended, but significant flood damage is unlikely.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.