Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
High tidal levels approaching 20.4 feet are expected in the early morning, with barometric pressure remaining relatively high near 1022 hPa. These conditions bring us close to a flood event and warrant monitoring, but substantial flood damage is not anticipated.
WHEN
Highest risk near the morning high tide window, around 06:30 AM to 08:30 AM PST.
IMPACTS
• Minor ponding of water in typically low-lying areas near the shoreline.
• Minimal or no property damage expected.
• NOAA’s flood likelihood is at 4.2%, which is significantly lower than past flood events classified above Category 3.
• Although the tide is relatively high (near 20.4 ft), the pressure is well above 992 hPa, reducing the chance of more serious flooding.
• Winds are light and not from the most concerning directions (W/NW) known to exacerbate flooding.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
High tides could reach around 20.3 feet, with barometric pressure near 1018 hPa. Conditions remain close to a flood event threshold, but flooding damage is unlikely unless other unexpected factors develop.
WHEN
Greatest concern is again near the morning high tide period, approximately 07:00 AM to 09:00 AM PST.
IMPACTS
• Possible short-term water accumulation in very low-lying spots.
• No significant flooding of property expected.
• NOAA’s flood likelihood has decreased to 2.8%, reflecting a lower flood potential relative to more severe past events.
• Winds remain modest, further limiting the risk.
• Historical Category 4+ events typically involved significantly lower barometric pressure (below 1002 hPa) and/or higher NOAA flood likelihood percentages.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
A morning high tide near 20.1 feet is predicted. Although barometric pressure is somewhat lower at about 1013 hPa, it remains well above critical thresholds that historically indicate more severe flood potential.
WHEN
Primary watch period from about 07:30 AM to 09:30 AM PST.
IMPACTS
• Minor flooding in the most flood-prone coastal spots possible; damage risk remains low.
• NOAA indicates a 1.7% flood likelihood, significantly below levels seen in past higher-category floods.
• Winds are forecast to stay relatively calm, reducing the chance of additional coastal surge.
• Historical Category 4 and 5 events combined both significantly lower barometric pressure and higher tidal levels than currently forecast.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings.
Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action
should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.
This assessment is based solely on the provided data, including tidal forecasts, barometric pressure projections, and NOAA flood likelihood estimates. Consult local authorities for definitive guidance and any potential rapid changes in conditions.