Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
There is a moderate chance of minor coastal flooding during the morning’s highest tide. Water levels could briefly exceed typical high-tide boundaries, but damaging flooding is not expected under current conditions.
WHEN
From approximately 07:00 AM PST through midday on 2025-02-03, coinciding with the peak high tide near 08:12 PST.
IMPACTS
• Minor flooding of very low-lying areas along the shoreline is possible.
• No widespread property damage is expected; however, brief impacts to parking areas, walking paths, or roads at lower elevations are possible.
• Barometric pressure is forecast around 1026 hPa, which is significantly higher than in past severe flood events. High pressure reduces the likelihood of more extensive flooding.
• The peak water level is forecast just over 20.7 ft, similar to historical Category 3 events, but pressures are substantially higher than in damaging floods.
• NOAA’s likelihood analysis for 2025-02-03 shows a relatively modest 7.9% chance of reaching or exceeding minor flood thresholds, consistent with monitoring for potential minor impacts rather than major flooding.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
No substantial risk of coastal flooding is anticipated. Tides will still be relatively high, but the likelihood of exceeding flood thresholds is low.
WHEN
Around the high tide near 08:48 PST and again near 22:24 PST on 2025-02-04.
IMPACTS
• No significant flooding expected.
• Typical higher-than-average water levels, but well below the threshold for concern in most locations.
• Barometric pressure (around 1020 to 1021 hPa) remains comparatively high, further lowering flood potential.
• NOAA indicates only a 2.7% flood likelihood for this date, considerably lower than typical Category 3 historical events.
• This aligns with historical data showing that pressures well above ~1000 hPa and tide levels near or below ~20.5 ft rarely produce notable flooding.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Conditions remain stable with no significant coastal flooding expected. Tides will be moderately high, but prevailing weather factors do not favor flooding.
WHEN
Near the morning high tide around 09:30 PST and again near 18:36 PST on 2025-02-05.
IMPACTS
• Minimal or no flooding in low-lying coastal areas.
• Normal daily variations in tide levels without notable inundation.
• Pressure stays around 1017–1018 hPa, which is still considerably higher than historically low-pressure flood events.
• NOAA’s flood likelihood is very low (0.1%), indicating virtually no chance of exceeding minor flood thresholds.
• Even though the tide may approach or exceed 20 ft, historically low impacts occur under similar pressures and calm winds.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
• Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
• Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
• Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
• Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
• Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.