Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
A higher-than-usual tide is forecast to peak near 20.67 ft around mid-morning on 02/03. Although this tide height resembles some Category 4 historical events, the significantly higher barometric pressure (around 1026 hPa) and relatively light winds reduce the chance of widespread flooding. Minor coastal flooding could occur, but it is not expected to be severe or damaging.
WHEN
From approximately 07:30 AM PST through 09:00 AM PST on Monday (02/03).
IMPACTS
• Minor flooding along low-lying pathways and shorelines is possible.
• Little to no property damage is expected.
• Monitor for isolated issues where water may briefly overtop bulkheads or flood small coastal road sections.
Comparing with the 12/18/2024 Category 4 event, where barometric pressure was notably lower (around 1016 hPa) and winds were stronger, today’s elevated pressure and weaker winds should help limit the flood potential. The NOAA flood likelihood is 7.9% for 02/03, which is lower than certain past Category 3 events, further indicating mostly minor impacts.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
Moderately high tides (around 20.4 ft) are expected with continued above-average barometric pressure near 1020–1021 hPa. This setup is akin to Day 1, though tidal heights are slightly lower. Overall, conditions are once again borderline for minor flooding but do not appear severe.
WHEN
Morning high tide near 08:48 AM PST, and another high tide in the late evening around 10:24 PM PST (22:24).
IMPACTS
• Slight flooding in very low-lying coastal areas and beaches could occur.
• No significant property damage is anticipated.
• Brief water on road edges is possible, but falling water levels should limit the duration of any issues.
The NOAA flood likelihood for 02/04 is marked as Low (2.7%), suggesting a lower flood potential than Day 1. Although the tide level is still noteworthy, the persistent high atmospheric pressure and modest winds keep the risk at a Category 3-level: near flood thresholds, but generally limited in scope.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Although local tides approach 19.95 ft in the morning, the NOAA flood likelihood drops to 0.1%, indicating minimal concern for coastal flooding. The barometric pressure around 1018 hPa is not low enough to amplify surge risks significantly.
WHEN
Morning high tide near 09:24 AM PST.
IMPACTS
• No substantial flooding is anticipated.
• Typical marine conditions near the shore.
This tide level is below the thresholds typically associated with minor flood issues. Historical comparisons show that tides under 20 ft, combined with moderate-to-high barometric pressure, seldom result in tangible flooding concerns. With NOAA forecasting a very low flood likelihood, Day 3 is expected to remain safely below flood impact levels.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.