Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2025-04-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flood risk is expected. Although the tidal peak approaches around 18.6 ft near 05:18 AM and 19:18 PM, barometric pressures remain well above critical low levels, and NOAA’s flood likelihood is 0%. No significant coastal flooding is anticipated.

WHEN
Minor tidal influences may occur in the early morning (around 05:18 AM) and again in the early evening (around 19:18 PM).

IMPACTS
No notable flood impacts. Typical high-tide conditions may produce mild ponding in extremely low-lying areas, but widespread flooding is unlikely.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

• Compared to the historical Category 3 event on 12/27/2023 (17.46 ft tide, barometric pressure ~1006.1 hPa, and an elevated NOAA flood likelihood), both barometric pressure (1003.2–1007.3 hPa) and NOAA flood likelihood (0% for 04/15) indicate substantially less risk.
• Even though spike tides exceed 17 ft, the absence of the extremely low barometric pressures seen in damaging events (e.g., 12/27/2022 Category 5 at ~978.4 hPa) supports a Category 2 (no flood risk) forecast.


Day 2: 2025-04-16

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flood risk is expected on 04/16, with high tides near 05:42 AM (~17.9 ft) and 20:00 PM (~18.6 ft). While morning barometric pressures briefly dip near 1002.8 hPa, they remain above historically flood-prone thresholds. NOAA’s flood likelihood remains at 0%.

WHEN
High-tide periods occur around 05:42 AM and 20:00 PM, but no flooding is expected based on the current pressure and tidal outlook.

IMPACTS
No notable flood impacts. Coastal areas will experience normal high-tide conditions without significant inundation concerns.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

• Historically, Category 4 or higher events often coincide with tide heights exceeding 19 ft plus more pronounced low pressure. Neither factor is met here.
• Analysts note that the nearest historical analog with ~17–18 ft tides either included significantly lower pressure or a higher NOAA flood likelihood to trigger Category 3 or greater. Today’s conditions remain well within safe thresholds.


Day 3: 2025-04-17

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Again, no flood risk is indicated. Tides peak near 06:12 AM (~17.5 ft) and 20:48 PM (~18.5 ft). Barometric pressure values near 1004.1 hPa are moderate, and NOAA’s forecast calls for 0% flood likelihood.

WHEN
High tides around 06:12 AM and 20:48 PM will not reach thresholds historically associated with minor or moderate coastal flooding.

IMPACTS
No expected flooding impacts. Standard high-tide conditions along the coast.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

• These tide levels are below those that caused previous Category 3–5 events.
• Wind directions (mainly northerly) and speeds are moderate, posing no significant onshore push of water.
• NOAA data remains at 0% for coastal flood likelihood.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.